Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 2.067621 2.364818 2.691133 3.076246 3.518670 4.011430 4.602460
2025-07-20 1.597471 1.994158 2.470295 3.085006 3.859360 4.804783 6.050314
2025-07-27 1.378121 1.826205 2.397827 3.182846 4.236796 5.608380 7.537895
2025-08-03 1.191064 1.656523 2.280399 3.181406 4.455768 6.203351 8.798470
2025-08-10 1.042969 1.512119 2.168277 3.158031 4.622561 6.724471 9.996651
2025-08-17 0.916974 1.379315 2.050826 3.103708 4.725692 7.150343 11.088389
2025-08-24 0.841865 1.310004 2.014012 3.158059 4.987519 7.827771 12.626697
2025-08-31 0.777505 1.248278 1.979359 3.207411 5.240415 8.509685 14.240784
2025-09-07 0.707541 1.169127 1.907485 3.186311 5.372365 9.004404 15.593493
2025-09-14 0.639794 1.085888 1.819417 3.126711 5.429486 9.374321 16.765153
2025-09-21 0.585675 1.019615 1.752092 3.093492 5.524886 9.813548 18.100190
2025-09-28 0.535408 0.954742 1.680303 3.043704 5.582948 10.187972 19.351191
2025-10-05 0.520562 0.955226 1.729875 3.231085 6.119440 11.535292 22.700032
2025-10-12 0.479862 0.905161 1.685037 3.242083 6.333760 12.321611 25.097914
2025-10-19 0.455925 0.883322 1.689039 3.345004 6.735675 13.513646 28.471892
2025-10-26 0.421965 0.838161 1.643282 3.343492 6.926381 14.304371 31.111669
2025-11-02 0.389215 0.791676 1.589625 3.318882 7.064692 15.000750 33.638880
2025-11-09 0.356685 0.742066 1.524248 3.261696 7.125491 15.537338 35.878739
2025-11-16 0.338403 0.720093 1.513155 3.318912 7.442053 16.667673 39.644134
2025-11-23 0.321203 0.698544 1.500524 3.370868 7.752232 17.819818 43.622886
2025-11-30 0.299326 0.664473 1.457299 3.348655 7.887952 18.584827 46.758488
2025-12-07 0.276336 0.625558 1.399418 3.285911 7.919764 19.106524 49.351868
2025-12-14 0.257502 0.594214 1.355417 3.250940 8.014459 19.791398 52.466211